Result
Final: Alabama 45, Kentucky 17
Closest: Elo (Alabama by 11.4, missed by 16.6). 2 of 2 models named the winner.
Both models favor Alabama. The line, shown for comparison only, has Alabama by 10.5.
No call was made for this game: Our model had no number for it before kickoff.
SP+ has Alabama by 9.0 and Elo has Alabama by 11.4. SP+ and Elo are 2.4 points apart.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Alabama +20.0 vs Kentucky +8.5 | Alabama by 9 ✓ | 19.0 |
| Elo Closest Alabama 1823 vs Kentucky 1476 | Alabama by 11.4 ✓ | 16.6 |
| Our model · experimental no snapshot for this game | n/a | – |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Alabama by 10.5 | 17.5 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.