Big games · Week 7
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#16Mississippi Stateat#22LSU ›Sat Oct 17, 11:00 AM CT / 12:00 PM ET · Our call: LSU by 11.4 (Strong)
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#4Ohio Stateat#5Indiana ›Sat Oct 17, 11:00 AM CT / 12:00 PM ET · Our call: Ohio State by 0.2 (Toss-up) · the models split
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#13Missouriat#9Ole Miss ›Sat Oct 17, 2:30 PM CT / 3:30 PM ET · Our call: Ole Miss by 2.4 (Toss-up)
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#6Alabamaat#14Tennessee ›Sat Oct 17, 2:30 PM CT / 3:30 PM ET · Our call: Alabama by 6.6 (Lean)
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#2Notre Dameat#8BYU ›Sat Oct 17, 6:30 PM CT / 7:30 PM ET · Our call: Notre Dame by 9.1 (Strong)
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#18Oklahoma Stateat#20Houston ›Sat Oct 17, 6:30 PM CT / 7:30 PM ET · Our call: Houston by 10.7 (Strong)
Every game between two AP Top 25 teams gets a prediction page. All projections ›
Week 6 in review › · flattered and undersold, closest model, upsets, biggest swings, the regression watch checked
National AI-assisted
- Ohio governor executive order impacts 2022 class fifth-year eligibility
- Iowa football roster costs just over 20 million dollars
- Pitt quarterback Mason Heintschel had successful ACL surgery
222 more headlines › · checked Tue Oct 13, 6:00 PM CT
This weekend · week 7 · 22 games with a team page
Friday, Oct 16 · 3 games
Night
Late
Saturday, Oct 17 · 19 games
Noon
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PittsburghatBoston College ›Sat Oct 17, 11:00 AM CT / 12:00 PM ET · ESPN2
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#4Ohio Stateat#5Indiana ›Sat Oct 17, 11:00 AM CT / 12:00 PM ET · Fox
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#16Mississippi Stateat#22LSU ›Sat Oct 17, 11:00 AM CT / 12:00 PM ET · ESPN | Disney+
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#25NorthwesternatMichigan State ›Sat Oct 17, 11:00 AM CT / 12:00 PM ET · Peacock
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Virginiaat#24SMU ›Sat Oct 17, 11:00 AM CT / 12:00 PM ET · CW
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Floridaat#7Texas ›Sat Oct 17, 11:00 AM CT / 12:00 PM ET · ABC
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The CitadelatTexas A&M ›Sat Oct 17, 12:00 PM CT / 1:00 PM ET · SECN+
Afternoon
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Auburnat#1Georgia ›Sat Oct 17, 2:30 PM CT / 3:30 PM ET · ESPN
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Penn StateatMichigan ›Sat Oct 17, 2:30 PM CT / 3:30 PM ET · CBS
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#13Missouriat#9Ole Miss ›Sat Oct 17, 2:30 PM CT / 3:30 PM ET · SEC Network
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#6Alabamaat#14Tennessee ›Sat Oct 17, 2:30 PM CT / 3:30 PM ET · ABC
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Arizona Stateat#10Texas Tech ›Sat Oct 17, 2:30 PM CT / 3:30 PM ET · Fox
Night
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Florida Stateat#3Miami ›Sat Oct 17, 6:00 PM CT / 7:00 PM ET · ESPN | Disney+
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#2Notre Dameat#8BYU ›Sat Oct 17, 6:30 PM CT / 7:30 PM ET · ABC
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#18Oklahoma Stateat#20Houston ›Sat Oct 17, 6:30 PM CT / 7:30 PM ET · Fox
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#15KentuckyatOklahoma ›Sat Oct 17, 6:30 PM CT / 7:30 PM ET · SEC Network
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LouisvilleatSyracuse ›Sat Oct 17, 6:30 PM CT / 7:30 PM ET · ACC Network
Late
Times CT / ET. Grouped by day, then by kickoff window within the day. Games of teams with a page; TV where listed. Each game opens its game page.
Last week's scores · Week 6 · 23 finals
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Oklahoma 27,#1Texas 24 ›Final · neutral site
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#2Georgia 20,#6Alabama 17 ›Final · Georgia on the road
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#3Notre Dame 58,Stanford 7 ›Final · Notre Dame at home
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#5Ohio State 45,Maryland 16 ›Final · Ohio State at home
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#7Indiana 20,Nebraska 17 ›Final · Indiana on the road
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#8BYU 24,Iowa State 10 ›Final · BYU at home
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#9Ole Miss 52,Vanderbilt 17 ›Final · Ole Miss on the road
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Kentucky 35,#10LSU 34 ›Final · Kentucky at home
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#12Utah 41,Kansas 24 ›Final · Utah at home
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#21UCLA 17,#13Oregon 15 ›Final · UCLA on the road
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#14Missouri 27,Texas A&M 6 ›Final · Missouri at home
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#15Tennessee 24,Arkansas 17 ›Final · Tennessee on the road
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South Carolina 38,#16Florida 19 ›Final · South Carolina on the road
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#18Oklahoma State 42,UCF 28 ›Final · Oklahoma State at home
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#19USC 31,Penn State 23 ›Final · USC on the road
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#20Iowa 41,Washington 24 ›Final · Iowa on the road
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#22Houston 35,Kansas State 16 ›Final · Houston on the road
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#23Boise State 38,Fresno State 31 ›Final · Boise State on the road
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North Carolina 21,#25Pittsburgh 17 ›Final · North Carolina on the road
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Louisville 44,Florida State 20 ›Final · Louisville at home
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Wake Forest 38,NC State 14 ›Final · Wake Forest on the road
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Northwestern 45,Ball State 14 ›Final · Northwestern at home
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Virginia 28,Syracuse 25 ›Final · Virginia at home
Every week 6 final involving a team with a page, ranks from that week's poll. Week 6 in review ›
AP Top 25 · week 7 poll
Movement vs the week 6 AP poll. Linked names have a team page. A verdict appears only where a week 6 result was genuinely surprising.
- 1 GeorgiaSEC ▲1 ›
- 2 Notre DameFBS Independents ▲1 ›
- 3 MiamiACC ▲1 ›
- 4 Ohio StateBig Ten ▲1 ›
- 5 IndianaBig Ten ▲2 ›
- 6 AlabamaSEC – ›
- 7 TexasSEC ▼6 ›
- 8 BYUBig 12 – ›
- 9 Ole MissSEC – ›
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10
Texas TechBig 12
▲1 ›
The scoreboard flattered Texas Tech: the +22 margin ran 22 points ahead of the -0 implied by per-play quality (PPA (expected points added per play) -0.22 vs -0.18, success rate 30% vs 40%) (Colorado turned it over 4 times).
Ranks 11–25 · 15 more teams
- 11 UtahBig 12 ▲1 ›
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12
UCLABig Ten
▲9 ›
The scoreboard undersold UCLA: the +2 margin ran 21 points behind the +23 implied by per-play quality (PPA (expected points added per play) -0.12 vs -0.51, success rate 35% vs 29%) (UCLA turned it over 3 times).
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13
MissouriSEC
▲1 ›
The scoreboard flattered Missouri: the +21 margin ran 15 points ahead of the +6 implied by per-play quality (PPA (expected points added per play) -0.02 vs -0.14, success rate 37% vs 27%) (Texas A&M turned it over twice).
- 14 TennesseeSEC ▲1 ›
- 15 KentuckySEC new ›
- 16 Mississippi StateSEC ▲1 ›
- 17 IowaBig Ten ▲3 ›
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18
Oklahoma StateBig 12
– ›
The scoreboard flattered Oklahoma State: the +14 margin ran 15 points ahead of the -1 implied by per-play quality (PPA (expected points added per play) +0.22 vs +0.18, success rate 54% vs 44%) (UCF turned it over once).
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19
USCBig Ten
– ›
The scoreboard undersold USC: the +8 margin ran 17 points behind the +25 implied by per-play quality (PPA (expected points added per play) +0.44 vs +0.04, success rate 50% vs 38%).
- 20 HoustonBig 12 ▲2 ›
- 21 Wake ForestACC new ›
- 22 LSUSEC ▼12 ›
- 23 Boise StatePac-12 – ›
- 24 SMUACC – ›
- 25 NorthwesternBig Ten new ›
Also tracked
Teams with a team page that are not in the AP Top 25.
- – Florida out (was #16) ›
- – Florida State ›
- – Louisville ›
- – Michigan ›
- – Oklahoma ›
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–
Oregon
out (was #13) ›
The scoreboard flattered Oregon: the -2 margin ran 21 points ahead of the -23 implied by per-play quality (PPA (expected points added per play) -0.51 vs -0.12, success rate 29% vs 35%) (UCLA turned it over 3 times).
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–
Penn State
›
The scoreboard flattered Penn State: the -8 margin ran 17 points ahead of the -25 implied by per-play quality (PPA (expected points added per play) +0.04 vs +0.44, success rate 38% vs 50%).
- – Pittsburgh out (was #25) ›
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Texas A&M
›
The scoreboard undersold Texas A&M: the -21 margin ran 15 points behind the -6 implied by per-play quality (PPA (expected points added per play) -0.14 vs -0.02, success rate 27% vs 37%) (Texas A&M turned it over twice).
- – Virginia ›
- – Washington ›