Result
Final: UCLA 28, San Diego State 10
Closest: SP+ (UCLA by 8.6, missed by 9.4). 1 of 2 models named the winner.
SP+ favors UCLA; Elo favors San Diego State.
No call was made for this game: Our model had no number for it before kickoff.
SP+ has UCLA by 8.6 and Elo has San Diego State by 0.7. SP+ and Elo are 9.3 points apart.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Closest San Diego State +3.1 vs UCLA +9.2 | UCLA by 8.6 ✓ | 9.4 |
| Elo San Diego State 1518 vs UCLA 1438 | San Diego State by 0.7 ✗ | 18.7 |
| Our model · experimental no snapshot for this game | n/a | – |
| Line (benchmark) no pregame line | n/a | – |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Team pages
San Diego StateUCLA ›Every game's projections ›