Result
Final: Penn State 55, Buffalo 13
Closest: SP+ (Penn State by 34.1, missed by 7.9). 2 of 2 models named the winner.
Both models favor Penn State. The line, shown for comparison only, has Penn State by 41.0.
No call was made for this game: Our model had no number for it before kickoff.
SP+ has Penn State by 34.1 and Elo has Penn State by 24.1. SP+ and Elo are 10.0 points apart.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Closest Buffalo -13.9 vs Penn State +17.7 | Penn State by 34.1 ✓ | 7.9 |
| Elo Buffalo 1341 vs Penn State 1880 | Penn State by 24.1 ✓ | 17.9 |
| Our model · experimental no snapshot for this game | n/a | – |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Penn State by 41 | 1.0 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.