The SportsWire

Mississippi State at South Carolina

Prediction · week 3, 2026 · Sat Sep 19, 3:15 PM CT / 4:15 PM ET · Williams-Brice Stadium

Updated Tue Oct 13, 7:56 PM CT

Result

Final: Mississippi State 41, South Carolina 34

Closest: Elo (South Carolina by 7.3, missed by 14.3). 0 of 2 models named the winner.

Both models favor South Carolina.

No call was made for this game: Our model had no number for it before kickoff.

SP+ has South Carolina by 9.4 and Elo has South Carolina by 7.3. SP+ and Elo are 2.1 points apart.

This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.

Every model

ModelSaysMissed by
SP+
Mississippi State +10.0 vs South Carolina +16.9
South Carolina by 9.4 ✗16.4
Elo Closest
Mississippi State 1642 vs South Carolina 1763
South Carolina by 7.3 ✗14.3
Our model · experimental
no snapshot for this game
n/a–
Line (benchmark)
no pregame line
n/a–

Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›

Key injuries

No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.

Team pages