The SportsWire

NC State at Vanderbilt

Prediction · week 3, 2026 · Sat Sep 19, 11:45 AM CT / 12:45 PM ET · FirstBank Stadium

Updated Tue Oct 13, 7:56 PM CT

Result

Final: Vanderbilt 35, NC State 31

Closest: SP+ (Vanderbilt by 4.6, missed by 0.6). 2 of 2 models named the winner.

Both models favor Vanderbilt.

No call was made for this game: Our model had no number for it before kickoff.

SP+ has Vanderbilt by 4.6 and Elo has Vanderbilt by 12.0. SP+ and Elo are 7.4 points apart.

This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.

Every model

ModelSaysMissed by
SP+ Closest
NC State +8.0 vs Vanderbilt +10.1
Vanderbilt by 4.6 ✓0.6
Elo
NC State 1509 vs Vanderbilt 1746
Vanderbilt by 12.0 ✓8.0
Our model · experimental
no snapshot for this game
n/a–
Line (benchmark)
no pregame line
n/a–

Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›

Key injuries

No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.

Team pages