The SportsWire

New Mexico at #24Oklahoma

Prediction · week 3, 2026 · Sat Sep 19, 6:30 PM CT / 7:30 PM ET · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)

Updated Tue Oct 13, 7:56 PM CT

Result

Final: Oklahoma 14, New Mexico 6

Closest: Elo (Oklahoma by 11.3, missed by 3.3). 2 of 2 models named the winner.

Both models favor Oklahoma. The line, shown for comparison only, has Oklahoma by 23.5.

No call was made for this game: Our model had no number for it before kickoff.

SP+ has Oklahoma by 16.7 and Elo has Oklahoma by 11.3. SP+ and Elo are 5.4 points apart.

This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.

Every model

ModelSaysMissed by
SP+
New Mexico +5.0 vs Oklahoma +19.2
Oklahoma by 16.7 ✓8.7
Elo Closest
New Mexico 1564 vs Oklahoma 1783
Oklahoma by 11.3 ✓3.3
Our model · experimental
no snapshot for this game
n/a–
Line (benchmark)
pregame line
Oklahoma by 23.515.5

Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›

Key injuries

No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.

Team pages