Result
Final: Missouri 27, Troy 17
Closest: Elo (Missouri by 13.5, missed by 3.5). 2 of 2 models named the winner.
Both models favor Missouri. The line, shown for comparison only, has Missouri by 27.0.
No call was made for this game: Our model had no number for it before kickoff.
SP+ has Missouri by 24.7 and Elo has Missouri by 13.5. SP+ and Elo are 11.2 points apart.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Troy -7.1 vs Missouri +15.1 | Missouri by 24.7 ✓ | 14.7 |
| Elo Closest Troy 1416 vs Missouri 1691 | Missouri by 13.5 ✓ | 3.5 |
| Our model · experimental no snapshot for this game | n/a | – |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Missouri by 27 | 17.0 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.