Result
Final: Arizona 34, Cincinnati 7
Closest: Elo (Arizona by 7.3, missed by 19.7). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Arizona by 6.0Lean
All three models favor Arizona.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Arizona by 4.0, Elo has Arizona by 7.3, and Our model has Arizona by 6.7. They are within 3.3 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Cincinnati +9.2 vs Arizona +10.7 | Arizona by 4 ✓ | 23.0 |
| Elo Closest Cincinnati 1525 vs Arizona 1646 | Arizona by 7.3 ✓ | 19.7 |
| Our model · experimental Cincinnati +3.1 vs Arizona +7.2 | Arizona by 6.7 ✓ | 20.3 |
| Line (benchmark) no pregame line | n/a | – |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Lean | Arizona by 6.0 ✓ | 21.0 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Team pages
CincinnatiArizona ›Every game's projections ›