Result
Final: Arizona 52, West Virginia 31
Closest: Elo (Arizona by 11.4, missed by 9.6). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Arizona by 8.1Strong
All three models favor Arizona (SP+ from the week 5 snapshot).
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Arizona by 6.8, Elo has Arizona by 11.4, and Our model has Arizona by 6.1. They are within 5.3 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Arizona +10.7 vs West Virginia +1.4 · week 5 ratings | Arizona by 6.8 ✓ | 14.2 |
| Elo Closest Arizona 1702 vs West Virginia 1355 | Arizona by 11.4 ✓ | 9.6 |
| Our model · experimental Arizona +7.7 vs West Virginia -0.8 | Arizona by 6.1 ✓ | 14.9 |
| Line (benchmark) no pregame line | n/a | – |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Arizona by 8.1 ✓ | 12.9 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Team pages
Arizona ›West VirginiaEvery game's projections ›