Result
Final: Iowa 16, Iowa State 13
Closest: Elo (Iowa by 12.9, missed by 9.9). 2 of 2 models named the winner.
Both models favor Iowa. The line, shown for comparison only, has Iowa by 14.0.
No call was made for this game: Our model had no number for it before kickoff.
SP+ has Iowa by 17.4 and Elo has Iowa by 12.9. SP+ and Elo are 4.5 points apart.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Iowa State +3.1 vs Iowa +18.0 | Iowa by 17.4 ✓ | 14.4 |
| Elo Closest Iowa State 1586 vs Iowa 1847 | Iowa by 12.9 ✓ | 9.9 |
| Our model · experimental no snapshot for this game | n/a | – |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Iowa by 14 | 11.0 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Team pages
Iowa StateIowa ›Every game's projections ›