Result
Final: Pittsburgh 12, UCF 7
Closest: SP+ (Pittsburgh by 6.7, missed by 1.7). 2 of 2 models named the winner.
Both models favor Pittsburgh.
No call was made for this game: Our model had no number for it before kickoff.
SP+ has Pittsburgh by 6.7 and Elo has Pittsburgh by 11.1. SP+ and Elo are 4.4 points apart.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Closest UCF +5.9 vs Pittsburgh +10.1 | Pittsburgh by 6.7 ✓ | 1.7 |
| Elo UCF 1465 vs Pittsburgh 1681 | Pittsburgh by 11.1 ✓ | 6.1 |
| Our model · experimental no snapshot for this game | n/a | – |
| Line (benchmark) no pregame line | n/a | – |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.