Result
Final: Notre Dame 27, Michigan State 10
Closest: Elo (Notre Dame by 24.2, missed by 7.2). 2 of 2 models named the winner.
Both models favor Notre Dame. The line, shown for comparison only, has Notre Dame by 29.5.
No call was made for this game: Our model had no number for it before kickoff.
SP+ has Notre Dame by 28.0 and Elo has Notre Dame by 24.2. SP+ and Elo are 3.8 points apart.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Michigan State +3.5 vs Notre Dame +29.0 | Notre Dame by 28 ✓ | 11.0 |
| Elo Closest Michigan State 1528 vs Notre Dame 2070 | Notre Dame by 24.2 ✓ | 7.2 |
| Our model · experimental no snapshot for this game | n/a | – |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Notre Dame by 29.5 | 12.5 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Team pages
Michigan StateNotre Dame ›Every game's projections ›