The SportsWire

UTSA at #1Texas

Prediction · week 3, 2026 · Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM CT / 8:00 PM ET · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

Updated Tue Oct 13, 7:56 PM CT

Result

Final: Texas 30, UTSA 6

Closest: SP+ (Texas by 25.4, missed by 1.4). 2 of 2 models named the winner.

Both models favor Texas. The line, shown for comparison only, has Texas by 29.5.

No call was made for this game: Our model had no number for it before kickoff.

SP+ has Texas by 25.4 and Elo has Texas by 18.1. SP+ and Elo are 7.3 points apart.

This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.

Every model

ModelSaysMissed by
SP+ Closest
UTSA +2.1 vs Texas +25.0
Texas by 25.4 ✓1.4
Elo
UTSA 1525 vs Texas 1916
Texas by 18.1 ✓5.9
Our model · experimental
no snapshot for this game
n/a–
Line (benchmark)
pregame line
Texas by 29.55.5

Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›

Key injuries

No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.

Team pages