Result
Final: West Virginia 38, Virginia 27
Closest: SP+ (Virginia by 9.7, missed by 20.7). 0 of 2 models named the winner.
Both models favor Virginia. The line, shown for comparison only, has Virginia by 9.5.
No call was made for this game: Our model had no number for it before kickoff.
SP+ has Virginia by 9.7 and Elo has Virginia by 11.5. SP+ and Elo are 1.8 points apart.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Closest West Virginia +3.0 vs Virginia +12.7 | Virginia by 9.7 ✗ | 20.7 |
| Elo West Virginia 1365 vs Virginia 1652 | Virginia by 11.5 ✗ | 22.5 |
| Our model · experimental no snapshot for this game | n/a | – |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Virginia by 9.5 | 20.5 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Team pages
West VirginiaVirginia ›Every game's projections ›