78%Our win chance22%
Our win chance: Boise State 78% · Washington State 22% · experimental, see how it is tested
The prediction
·
Our call: Boise State by 11.1Strong
All three models favor Boise State (SP+ from the week 7 snapshot). The line, shown for comparison only, has Boise State by 14.0.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Boise State by 17.7, Elo has Boise State by 7.4, and Our model has Boise State by 8.3. They are within 10.3 points of each other.
Every model
| Model | Says |
|---|---|
| SP+ Boise State +9.1 vs Washington State -11.1 · week 7 ratings | Boise State by 17.7 |
| Elo Boise State 1691 vs Washington State 1444 | Boise State by 7.4 |
| Our model · experimental Boise State +5.1 vs Washington State -5.7 | Boise State by 8.3 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Boise State by 14 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Boise State by 11.1 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. How these work ›
Key injuries
No conference availability report for this game.
Washington State
No conference availability report for this game.
Last 5 meetings
Washington State leads 5–2 · last: Boise State 45–24, 2024
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Boise State 45–24 | Albertsons Stadium |
| 2017 | Washington State 47–44 | Gesa Field |
| 2016 | Boise State 31–28 | Albertsons Stadium |
| 2001 | Washington State 41–20 | Albertsons Stadium |
| 2000 | Washington State 42–35 | — |
Team pages
Boise State ›Washington StateEvery game's projections ›