24%Our win chance76%
Our win chance: Arizona 76% · Iowa State 24% · experimental, see how it is tested
The prediction
·
Both models favor Arizona (SP+ from the week 7 snapshot). The line, shown for comparison only, has Arizona by 10.0.
Our call posts Monday when this week's ratings are set.
SP+ has Arizona by 16.7 and Elo has Arizona by 5.5. SP+ and Elo are 11.2 points apart.
Every model
| Model | Says |
|---|---|
| SP+ Iowa State +1.0 vs Arizona +15.2 · week 7 ratings | Arizona by 16.7 |
| Elo Iowa State 1643 vs Arizona 1719 | Arizona by 5.5 |
| Our model · experimental no snapshot for this game | n/a |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Arizona by 10 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. How these work ›
Key injuries
Iowa State
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Team pages
Iowa StateArizona ›Every game's projections ›