69%Our win chance31%
Our win chance: LSU 69% · Auburn 31% · experimental, see how it is tested
The prediction
·
Our call: LSU by 7.7Strong
All three models favor LSU (SP+ from the week 7 snapshot). The line, shown for comparison only, has LSU by 5.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has LSU by 8.2, Elo has LSU by 6.8, and Our model has LSU by 8.2. They are within 1.4 points of each other.
Every model
| Model | Says |
|---|---|
| SP+ LSU +21.7 vs Auburn +11.0 · week 7 ratings | LSU by 8.2 |
| Elo LSU 1922 vs Auburn 1689 | LSU by 6.8 |
| Our model · experimental LSU +20.8 vs Auburn +10.2 | LSU by 8.2 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | LSU by 5.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | LSU by 7.7 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. How these work ›
Key injuries
As of Sat Oct 17, 9:30 AM CT · official conference report and public reporting
- Charles Ross II LB · torn ACLOut · season
- Dashawn Spears S · ACLOut · season
Auburn
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Last 5 meetings
LSU leads 33–23–1 · last: LSU 48–18, 2023 · LSU has won 2 straight
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | LSU 48–18 | Tiger Stadium (LA) |
| 2022 | LSU 21–17 | Jordan-Hare Stadium |
| 2021 | Auburn 24–19 | Tiger Stadium (LA) |
| 2020 | Auburn 48–11 | Jordan-Hare Stadium |
| 2019 | LSU 23–20 | Tiger Stadium (LA) |