The SportsWire

Oklahoma at Mississippi State

Prediction · week 8, 2026 · Sat Oct 24, 2:30 PM CT / 3:30 PM ET · Davis Wade Stadium

Updated Mon Oct 19, 8:04 AM CT

OUOklahoma · 3-3 Sat Oct 24, 2:30 PM CT / 3:30 PM ET MSSTMississippi State · 4-2

52%Our win chance48%

Our win chance: Oklahoma 52% · Mississippi State 48% · experimental, see how it is tested

The prediction

Our call: Oklahoma by 1.1Toss-up

SP+ favors Mississippi State; Elo and Our model favor Oklahoma (SP+ from the week 7 snapshot). The line, shown for comparison only, has Oklahoma by 2.5.

The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›

SP+ has Mississippi State by 2.9, Elo has Oklahoma by 4.4, and Our model has Oklahoma by 1.7. The furthest apart are 7.3 points from each other.

Every model

ModelSays
SP+
Oklahoma +12.2 vs Mississippi State +12.6 · week 7 ratings
Mississippi State by 2.9
Elo
Oklahoma 1721 vs Mississippi State 1549
Oklahoma by 4.4
Our model · experimental
Oklahoma +13.2 vs Mississippi State +9.0
Oklahoma by 1.7
Line (benchmark)
pregame line
Oklahoma by 2.5
Our call
average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Toss-up
Oklahoma by 1.1

Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. How these work ›

Key injuries

Oklahoma

No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.

Mississippi State

No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.

Last 0 meetings

first meeting

No earlier meeting.

Team pages