13%Our win chance87%
Our win chance: Northwestern 87% · Rutgers 13% · experimental, see how it is tested
The prediction
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Our call: Northwestern by 16.7Strong
All three models favor Northwestern (SP+ from the week 7 snapshot). The line, shown for comparison only, has Northwestern by 16.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Northwestern by 23.4, Elo has Northwestern by 15.7, and Our model has Northwestern by 11.1. They are within 12.3 points of each other.
Every model
| Model | Says |
|---|---|
| SP+ Rutgers -5.3 vs Northwestern +15.6 · week 7 ratings | Northwestern by 23.4 |
| Elo Rutgers 1396 vs Northwestern 1727 | Northwestern by 15.7 |
| Our model · experimental Rutgers -1.6 vs Northwestern +7.0 | Northwestern by 11.1 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Northwestern by 16.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Northwestern by 16.7 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. How these work ›
Key injuries
Rutgers
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Last 5 meetings
Rutgers leads 4–2 · last: Rutgers 24–7, 2023
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Rutgers 24–7 | SHI Stadium |
| 2021 | Northwestern 21–7 | Ryan Field |
| 2018 | Northwestern 18–15 | High Point Solutions Stadium |
| 1991 | Rutgers 22–18 | — |
| 1989 | Rutgers 38–27 | — |