58%Our win chance42%
Our win chance: Tennessee 58% · South Carolina 42% · experimental, see how it is tested
The prediction
·
Our call: Tennessee by 3.9Lean
All three models favor Tennessee (SP+ from the week 7 snapshot). The line, shown for comparison only, has Tennessee by 3.0.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Tennessee by 4.3, Elo has Tennessee by 2.2, and Our model has Tennessee by 5.2. They are within 3.0 points of each other.
Every model
| Model | Says |
|---|---|
| SP+ Tennessee +16.7 vs South Carolina +9.9 · week 7 ratings | Tennessee by 4.3 |
| Elo Tennessee 1817 vs South Carolina 1699 | Tennessee by 2.2 |
| Our model · experimental Tennessee +16.1 vs South Carolina +8.4 | Tennessee by 5.2 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Tennessee by 3 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Lean | Tennessee by 3.9 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. How these work ›
Key injuries
As of Sat Oct 17, 1:00 PM CT · official conference report and public reporting
- Ethan Davis TE · torn ACLOut · season
South Carolina
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Last 5 meetings
Tennessee leads 29–11–2 · last: Tennessee 41–20, 2023
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Tennessee 41–20 | Neyland Stadium |
| 2022 | South Carolina 63–38 | Williams-Brice Stadium |
| 2021 | Tennessee 45–20 | Neyland Stadium |
| 2020 | Tennessee 31–27 | Williams-Brice Stadium |
| 2019 | Tennessee 41–21 | Neyland Stadium |
Team pages
Tennessee ›South CarolinaEvery game's projections ›