82%Our win chance18%
Our win chance: Texas Tech 82% · Cincinnati 18% · experimental, see how it is tested
The prediction
·
Our call: Texas Tech by 13.7Strong
All three models favor Texas Tech (SP+ from the week 7 snapshot). The line, shown for comparison only, has Texas Tech by 11.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Texas Tech by 13.8, Elo has Texas Tech by 15.3, and Our model has Texas Tech by 12.0. They are within 3.3 points of each other.
Every model
| Model | Says |
|---|---|
| SP+ Texas Tech +21.6 vs Cincinnati +5.3 · week 7 ratings | Texas Tech by 13.8 |
| Elo Texas Tech 1908 vs Cincinnati 1463 | Texas Tech by 15.3 |
| Our model · experimental Texas Tech +16.1 vs Cincinnati +1.7 | Texas Tech by 12 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Texas Tech by 11.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Texas Tech by 13.7 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Cincinnati
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Last 2 meetings
Texas Tech leads 1–0–1 · last: Texas Tech 44–41, 2024
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Texas Tech 44–41 | Jones AT&T Stadium |
| 1968 | Tie 10–10 | — |
Team pages
Texas Tech ›CincinnatiEvery game's projections ›