61%Our win chance39%
Our win chance: USC 61% · Wisconsin 39% · experimental, see how it is tested
The prediction
·
Our call: USC by 4.1Lean
All three models favor USC (SP+ from the week 7 snapshot). The line, shown for comparison only, has USC by 2.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has USC by 1.4, Elo has USC by 3.3, and Our model has USC by 7.5. They are within 6.1 points of each other.
Every model
| Model | Says |
|---|---|
| SP+ USC +14.4 vs Wisconsin +10.5 · week 7 ratings | USC by 1.4 |
| Elo USC 1804 vs Wisconsin 1658 | USC by 3.3 |
| Our model · experimental USC +15.6 vs Wisconsin +5.6 | USC by 7.5 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | USC by 2.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Lean | USC by 4.1 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Wisconsin
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Last 5 meetings
USC leads 7–1 · last: USC 38–21, 2024
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | USC 38–21 | Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum |
| 2015 | Wisconsin 23–21 | neutral site |
| 1966 | USC 38–3 | — |
| 1965 | USC 26–6 | — |
| 1962 | USC 42–37 | neutral site |
Team pages
USC ›WisconsinEvery game's projections ›