This is Week 10. Week 11 games are out →
Sat Nov 7, 11:00 AM CT · ACC Network · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Our call: Florida State by 6.3 · 66% pregame win chance ✓ right
66%Our win chance34%
Our win chance: Florida State 66% · Boston College 34% · experimental, see how it is tested
Final: Florida State 31, Boston College 24 · our call right
Final: Florida State 31, Boston College 24
Closest: Market (Florida State by 6.5, missed by 0.5). 9 of 10 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Records on this page are each team's record entering the game; the team pages and the scores page count this result.
Model comparison
9 of 10 models favored Florida State
| Model | Says | Pregame win chance | Missed by |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Margin The Margin's model | Florida State by 9.7 ✓ | Florida State 76% | 2.7 |
| ESPN FPI Florida State +8.0 vs Boston College -4.0 | Florida State by 9.4 ✓ | Florida State 75% | 2.4 |
| SRS Florida State +3.3 vs Boston College -7.5 | Florida State by 8.3 ✓ | Florida State 73% | 1.3 |
| Our model · experimental Florida State +7.3 vs Boston College -3.1 | Florida State by 7.9 ✓ | Florida State 72% | 0.9 |
| Sagarin Florida State +76.1 vs Boston College +65.5 | Florida State by 7.8 ✓ | Florida State 71% | 0.8 |
| Market Closest the market's pregame margin | Florida State by 6.5 ✓ | Florida State 68% | 0.5 |
| Elo Florida State 1575 vs Boston College 1357 | Florida State by 6.2 ✓ | Florida State 67% | 0.8 |
| SP+ Florida State +5.8 vs Boston College -1.5 · week 9 ratings | Florida State by 4.8 ✓ | Florida State 64% | 2.2 |
| Sonny Moore Florida State +76.0 vs Boston College +69.1 | Florida State by 2.9 ✓ | Florida State 58% | 4.1 |
| Record Boston College 4-4, Florida State 3-5 | Boston College (better record) ✗ | – | – |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model | Florida State by 6.3 ✓ | Florida State 66% | 0.7 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; Market is the margin the market expected before kickoff; ESPN FPI, SRS, Sagarin and Sonny Moore are rating gaps like SP+'s (each with its own home field), The Margin is that site's own model, and Record names the team with the better record (the home team on equal records). ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
How the models read it
SP+, Elo, Our model, ESPN FPI, SRS, Sagarin, Sonny Moore, The Margin and Market favored Florida State; Record favored Boston College (SP+ from the week 9 snapshot).
SP+ had Florida State by 4.8, Elo had Florida State by 6.2, Our model had Florida State by 7.9, ESPN FPI had Florida State by 9.4, SRS had Florida State by 8.3, Sagarin had Florida State by 7.8, Sonny Moore had Florida State by 2.9, The Margin had Florida State by 9.7, and Market had Florida State by 6.5. They were within 6.8 points of each other.
Frozen at kickoff: these are the projections and the call as they stood before the game (last recorded Sat Nov 7, 9:07 AM CT).
Last 5 meetings
Florida State leads 16–6 · last: Boston College 28–13, 2024
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Boston College 28–13 | Doak Campbell Stadium |
| 2023 | Florida State 31–29 | Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) |
| 2022 | Florida State 44–14 | Doak Campbell Stadium |
| 2021 | Florida State 26–23 | Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) |
| 2019 | Florida State 38–31 | Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) |