The SportsWire

#2Georgia at #12Ole Miss

Prediction · week 10, 2026 · Sat Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT · ABC · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium (Oxford)

Updated Tue Nov 10, 6:06 AM CT

This is Week 10. Week 11 games are out →

#2 Georgia7-1 · 5-1 SEC · CFP #2
Final 42–7
#12 Ole Miss6-2 · 4-2 SEC · CFP #10

Sat Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT · ABC · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium (Oxford)

Our call: Georgia by 4.3 · 61% pregame win chance ✓ right

UGAGeorgia · 7-1 Final MISSOle Miss · 6-2

61%Our win chance39%

Our win chance: Georgia 61% · Ole Miss 39% · experimental, see how it is tested

Final: Georgia 42, Ole Miss 7 · our call right

Final: Georgia 42, Ole Miss 7

Closest: SP+ (Georgia by 9.9, missed by 25.1). 7 of 10 models named the winner. Our call was right.

Records on this page are each team's record entering the game; the team pages and the scores page count this result.

Model comparison

7 of 10 models favored Georgia

ModelSaysPregame win chanceMissed by
SP+ Closest
Georgia +27.1 vs Ole Miss +14.7 · week 9 ratings
Georgia by 9.9 ✓Georgia 76%25.1
Market
the market's pregame margin
Georgia by 3 ✓Georgia 59%32.0
Our model · experimental
Georgia +21.8 vs Ole Miss +16.5
Georgia by 2.8 ✓Georgia 58%32.2
SRS
Georgia +20.9 vs Ole Miss +20.6
Ole Miss by 2.2 ✗Ole Miss 56%37.2
The Margin
The Margin's model
Georgia by 2.1 ✓Georgia 56%32.9
Sonny Moore
Georgia +97.8 vs Ole Miss +95.5
Ole Miss by 1.6 ✗Ole Miss 55%36.6
ESPN FPI
Georgia +25.4 vs Ole Miss +21.5
Georgia by 1.5 ✓Georgia 54%33.5
Sagarin
Georgia +91.7 vs Ole Miss +89.6
Ole Miss by 0.6 ✗Ole Miss 52%35.6
Elo
Georgia 2037 vs Ole Miss 1973
Georgia by 0.1 ✓Georgia 50%34.9
Record
Ole Miss 6-2, Georgia 7-1
Georgia (better record) ✓––
Our call
average of SP+, Elo and Our model
Georgia by 4.3 ✓Georgia 61%30.7

Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; Market is the margin the market expected before kickoff; ESPN FPI, SRS, Sagarin and Sonny Moore are rating gaps like SP+'s (each with its own home field), The Margin is that site's own model, and Record names the team with the better record (the home team on equal records). ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›

How the models read it

SP+, Elo, Our model, ESPN FPI, The Margin, Record and Market favored Georgia; SRS, Sagarin and Sonny Moore favored Ole Miss (SP+ from the week 9 snapshot).

SP+ had Georgia by 9.9, Elo had Georgia by 0.1, Our model had Georgia by 2.8, ESPN FPI had Georgia by 1.5, SRS had Ole Miss by 2.2, Sagarin had Ole Miss by 0.6, Sonny Moore had Ole Miss by 1.6, The Margin had Georgia by 2.1, and Market had Georgia by 3.0. The furthest apart are 12.1 points from each other.

Frozen at kickoff: these are the projections and the call as they stood before the game (last recorded Sat Nov 7, 6:07 PM CT).

Last 5 meetings

Georgia leads 34–15–1 · last: Ole Miss 39–34, 2025

SeasonResultSite
2025Ole Miss 39–34neutral site
2025Georgia 43–35Sanford Stadium
2024Ole Miss 28–10Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
2023Georgia 52–17Sanford Stadium
2016Ole Miss 45–14Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Team pages