This is Week 10. Week 11 games are out →
Sat Nov 7, 6:30 PM CT · ACC Network · Bobby Dodd Stadium (Atlanta)
Our call: Louisville by 11.1 · 76% pregame win chance ✓ right
76%Our win chance24%
Our win chance: Louisville 76% · Georgia Tech 24% · experimental, see how it is tested
Final: Louisville 44, Georgia Tech 17 · our call right
Final: Louisville 44, Georgia Tech 17
Closest: SRS (Louisville by 18.6, missed by 8.4). 10 of 10 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Records on this page are each team's record entering the game; the team pages and the scores page count this result.
Model comparison
10 of 10 models favored Louisville
| Model | Says | Pregame win chance | Missed by |
|---|---|---|---|
| SRS Closest Louisville +12.6 vs Georgia Tech -8.5 | Louisville by 18.6 ✓ | Louisville 91% | 8.4 |
| Sonny Moore Louisville +86.6 vs Georgia Tech +65.2 | Louisville by 17.4 ✓ | Louisville 90% | 9.6 |
| The Margin The Margin's model | Louisville by 16.7 ✓ | Louisville 89% | 10.3 |
| ESPN FPI Louisville +14.2 vs Georgia Tech -3.8 | Louisville by 15.5 ✓ | Louisville 87% | 11.5 |
| Market the market's pregame margin | Louisville by 13.5 ✓ | Louisville 84% | 13.5 |
| Sagarin Louisville +82.8 vs Georgia Tech +67.8 | Louisville by 12.2 ✓ | Louisville 81% | 14.8 |
| Elo Louisville 1726 vs Georgia Tech 1374 | Louisville by 11.6 ✓ | Louisville 80% | 15.4 |
| Our model · experimental Louisville +12.4 vs Georgia Tech -1.0 | Louisville by 10.8 ✓ | Louisville 78% | 16.2 |
| SP+ Louisville +12.2 vs Georgia Tech -1.1 · week 9 ratings | Louisville by 10.8 ✓ | Louisville 78% | 16.2 |
| Record Georgia Tech 2-6, Louisville 5-3 | Louisville (better record) ✓ | – | – |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model | Louisville by 11.1 ✓ | Louisville 76% | 15.9 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; Market is the margin the market expected before kickoff; ESPN FPI, SRS, Sagarin and Sonny Moore are rating gaps like SP+'s (each with its own home field), The Margin is that site's own model, and Record names the team with the better record (the home team on equal records). ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
How the models read it
All 10 models favored Louisville (SP+ from the week 9 snapshot).
SP+ had Louisville by 10.8, Elo had Louisville by 11.6, Our model had Louisville by 10.8, ESPN FPI had Louisville by 15.5, SRS had Louisville by 18.6, Sagarin had Louisville by 12.2, Sonny Moore had Louisville by 17.4, The Margin had Louisville by 16.7, and Market had Louisville by 13.5. They were within 7.8 points of each other.
Frozen at kickoff: these are the projections and the call as they stood before the game (last recorded Sat Nov 7, 6:04 PM CT).
Last 4 meetings
tied 2–2 · last: Louisville 31–19, 2024 · Louisville has won 2 straight
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Louisville 31–19 | L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium |
| 2023 | Louisville 39–34 | neutral site |
| 2020 | Georgia Tech 46–27 | Bobby Dodd Stadium |
| 2018 | Georgia Tech 66–31 | L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium |