This is Week 10. Week 11 games are out →
Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM CT · ESPN · Williams-Brice Stadium (Columbia)
Our call: South Carolina by 2.2 · 55% pregame win chance ✓ right
45%Our win chance55%
Our win chance: South Carolina 55% · Texas A&M 45% · experimental, see how it is tested
Final: South Carolina 17, Texas A&M 9 · our call right
Final: South Carolina 17, Texas A&M 9
Closest: Market (South Carolina by 7, missed by 1.0). 9 of 10 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Records on this page are each team's record entering the game; the team pages and the scores page count this result.
Model comparison
9 of 10 models favored South Carolina
| Model | Says | Pregame win chance | Missed by |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Moore Texas A&M +84.1 vs South Carolina +90.9 | South Carolina by 10.8 ✓ | South Carolina 78% | 2.8 |
| Market Closest the market's pregame margin | South Carolina by 7 ✓ | South Carolina 69% | 1.0 |
| SP+ Texas A&M +9.7 vs South Carolina +11.0 · week 9 ratings | South Carolina by 3.8 ✓ | South Carolina 61% | 4.2 |
| SRS Texas A&M +9.9 vs South Carolina +11.1 | South Carolina by 3.7 ✓ | South Carolina 61% | 4.3 |
| The Margin The Margin's model | South Carolina by 3.3 ✓ | South Carolina 59% | 4.7 |
| Elo Texas A&M 1728 vs South Carolina 1745 | South Carolina by 3.2 ✓ | South Carolina 59% | 4.8 |
| Sagarin Texas A&M +84.2 vs South Carolina +84.2 | South Carolina by 2.8 ✓ | South Carolina 58% | 5.2 |
| ESPN FPI Texas A&M +13.8 vs South Carolina +13.5 | South Carolina by 2.2 ✓ | South Carolina 56% | 5.8 |
| Our model · experimental Texas A&M +13.2 vs South Carolina +10.2 | Texas A&M by 0.5 ✗ | Texas A&M 51% | 8.5 |
| Record South Carolina 5-3, Texas A&M 4-4 | South Carolina (better record) ✓ | – | – |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model | South Carolina by 2.2 ✓ | South Carolina 55% | 5.8 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; Market is the margin the market expected before kickoff; ESPN FPI, SRS, Sagarin and Sonny Moore are rating gaps like SP+'s (each with its own home field), The Margin is that site's own model, and Record names the team with the better record (the home team on equal records). ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
How the models read it
SP+, Elo, ESPN FPI, SRS, Sagarin, Sonny Moore, The Margin, Record and Market favored South Carolina; Our model favored Texas A&M (SP+ from the week 9 snapshot).
SP+ had South Carolina by 3.8, Elo had South Carolina by 3.2, Our model had Texas A&M by 0.5, ESPN FPI had South Carolina by 2.2, SRS had South Carolina by 3.7, Sagarin had South Carolina by 2.8, Sonny Moore had South Carolina by 10.8, The Margin had South Carolina by 3.3, and Market had South Carolina by 7.0. The furthest apart are 11.3 points from each other.
Frozen at kickoff: these are the projections and the call as they stood before the game (last recorded Sat Nov 7, 12:52 PM CT).
Last 5 meetings
Texas A&M leads 10–2 · last: Texas A&M 31–30, 2025
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas A&M 31–30 | Kyle Field |
| 2024 | South Carolina 44–20 | Williams-Brice Stadium |
| 2023 | Texas A&M 30–17 | Kyle Field |
| 2022 | South Carolina 30–24 | Williams-Brice Stadium |
| 2021 | Texas A&M 44–14 | Kyle Field |