This is Week 10. Week 11 games are out →
Sat Nov 7, 8:30 PM CT · ESPN · Galaxy Stadium (Lubbock)
Our call: Texas Tech by 20.3 · 91% pregame win chance ✓ right
9%Our win chance91%
Our win chance: Texas Tech 91% · West Virginia 9% · experimental, see how it is tested
Final: Texas Tech 53, West Virginia 48 · our call right
Final: Texas Tech 53, West Virginia 48
Closest: SRS (Texas Tech by 13.4, missed by 8.4). 10 of 10 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Records on this page are each team's record entering the game; the team pages and the scores page count this result.
Model comparison
10 of 10 models favored Texas Tech
| Model | Says | Pregame win chance | Missed by |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo West Virginia 1368 vs Texas Tech 1836 | Texas Tech by 21.2 ✓ | Texas Tech 94% | 16.2 |
| SP+ West Virginia +0.0 vs Texas Tech +18.4 · week 9 ratings | Texas Tech by 20.9 ✓ | Texas Tech 93% | 15.9 |
| Our model · experimental West Virginia -1.9 vs Texas Tech +14.6 | Texas Tech by 18.9 ✓ | Texas Tech 91% | 13.9 |
| ESPN FPI West Virginia +1.6 vs Texas Tech +16.8 | Texas Tech by 17.7 ✓ | Texas Tech 90% | 12.7 |
| The Margin The Margin's model | Texas Tech by 16.8 ✓ | Texas Tech 89% | 11.8 |
| Market the market's pregame margin | Texas Tech by 16.5 ✓ | Texas Tech 88% | 11.5 |
| Sagarin West Virginia +72.6 vs Texas Tech +84.0 | Texas Tech by 14.2 ✓ | Texas Tech 85% | 9.2 |
| Sonny Moore West Virginia +75.8 vs Texas Tech +85.4 | Texas Tech by 13.6 ✓ | Texas Tech 84% | 8.6 |
| SRS Closest West Virginia +2.8 vs Texas Tech +13.7 | Texas Tech by 13.4 ✓ | Texas Tech 83% | 8.4 |
| Record Texas Tech 7-1, West Virginia 5-3 | Texas Tech (better record) ✓ | – | – |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model | Texas Tech by 20.3 ✓ | Texas Tech 91% | 15.3 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; Market is the margin the market expected before kickoff; ESPN FPI, SRS, Sagarin and Sonny Moore are rating gaps like SP+'s (each with its own home field), The Margin is that site's own model, and Record names the team with the better record (the home team on equal records). ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
How the models read it
All 10 models favored Texas Tech (SP+ from the week 9 snapshot).
SP+ had Texas Tech by 20.9, Elo had Texas Tech by 21.2, Our model had Texas Tech by 18.9, ESPN FPI had Texas Tech by 17.7, SRS had Texas Tech by 13.4, Sagarin had Texas Tech by 14.2, Sonny Moore had Texas Tech by 13.6, The Margin had Texas Tech by 16.8, and Market had Texas Tech by 16.5. They were within 7.8 points of each other.
Frozen at kickoff: these are the projections and the call as they stood before the game (last recorded Sat Nov 7, 7:31 PM CT).
Last 5 meetings
Texas Tech leads 8–7 · last: Texas Tech 49–0, 2025 · Texas Tech has won 2 straight
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas Tech 49–0 | Milan Puskar Stadium |
| 2024 | Texas Tech 52–15 | Jones AT&T Stadium |
| 2023 | West Virginia 20–13 | Milan Puskar Stadium |
| 2022 | Texas Tech 48–10 | Jones AT&T Stadium |
| 2021 | Texas Tech 23–20 | Milan Puskar Stadium |