35%Our win chance65%
Our win chance: Texas 65% · Ole Miss 35% · experimental, see how it is tested
The prediction
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Our call: Texas by 5.2Lean
All three models favor Texas (SP+ from the week 7 snapshot). The line, shown for comparison only, has Texas by 3.0.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Texas by 11.0, Elo has Texas by 1.0, and Our model has Texas by 3.5. They are within 10.0 points of each other.
Every model
| Model | Says |
|---|---|
| SP+ Ole Miss +15.9 vs Texas +24.4 · week 7 ratings | Texas by 11.0 |
| Elo Ole Miss 1934 vs Texas 1897 | Texas by 1.0 |
| Our model · experimental Ole Miss +16.1 vs Texas +17.1 | Texas by 3.5 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Texas by 3 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Lean | Texas by 5.2 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Last 5 meetings
Texas leads 6–2 · last: Ole Miss 44–23, 2013
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Ole Miss 44–23 | DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium |
| 2012 | Texas 66–31 | Vaught-Hemingway Stadium |
| 1966 | Texas 19–0 | neutral site |
| 1961 | Texas 12–7 | neutral site |
| 1957 | Ole Miss 39–7 | neutral site |