This is Week 10. Week 11 games are out →
Sat Nov 7, 11:00 AM CT · ESPN | Disney+ · Memorial Stadium (Columbia)
Our call: Texas by 3.3 · 59% pregame win chance ✓ right
59%Our win chance41%
Our win chance: Texas 59% · Missouri 41% · experimental, see how it is tested
Final: Texas 34, Missouri 20 · our call right
Final: Texas 34, Missouri 20
Closest: ESPN FPI (Texas by 7.4, missed by 6.6). 9 of 10 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Records on this page are each team's record entering the game; the team pages and the scores page count this result.
Model comparison
9 of 10 models favored Texas
| Model | Says | Pregame win chance | Missed by |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN FPI Closest Texas +24.0 vs Missouri +14.1 | Texas by 7.4 ✓ | Texas 70% | 6.6 |
| The Margin The Margin's model | Texas by 5.4 ✓ | Texas 65% | 8.6 |
| Sonny Moore Texas +97.3 vs Missouri +88.5 | Texas by 4.9 ✓ | Texas 64% | 9.1 |
| Sagarin Texas +91.7 vs Missouri +84.3 | Texas by 4.6 ✓ | Texas 63% | 9.4 |
| SP+ Texas +20.4 vs Missouri +14.2 · week 9 ratings | Texas by 3.7 ✓ | Texas 61% | 10.3 |
| SRS Texas +20.9 vs Missouri +14.7 | Texas by 3.7 ✓ | Texas 61% | 10.3 |
| Elo Texas 1936 vs Missouri 1784 | Texas by 3.6 ✓ | Texas 60% | 10.4 |
| Market the market's pregame margin | Texas by 3.5 ✓ | Texas 60% | 10.5 |
| Our model · experimental Texas +18.0 vs Missouri +12.9 | Texas by 2.6 ✓ | Texas 57% | 11.4 |
| Record Missouri 6-2, Texas 6-2 | Missouri (better record) ✗ | – | – |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model | Texas by 3.3 ✓ | Texas 59% | 10.7 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; Market is the margin the market expected before kickoff; ESPN FPI, SRS, Sagarin and Sonny Moore are rating gaps like SP+'s (each with its own home field), The Margin is that site's own model, and Record names the team with the better record (the home team on equal records). ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
How the models read it
SP+, Elo, Our model, ESPN FPI, SRS, Sagarin, Sonny Moore, The Margin and Market favored Texas; Record favored Missouri (SP+ from the week 9 snapshot).
SP+ had Texas by 3.7, Elo had Texas by 3.6, Our model had Texas by 2.6, ESPN FPI had Texas by 7.4, SRS had Texas by 3.7, Sagarin had Texas by 4.6, Sonny Moore had Texas by 4.9, The Margin had Texas by 5.4, and Market had Texas by 3.5. They were within 4.8 points of each other.
Frozen at kickoff: these are the projections and the call as they stood before the game (last recorded Sat Nov 7, 9:37 AM CT).
Last 5 meetings
Texas leads 17–4 · last: Texas 33–16, 2017
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Texas 33–16 | neutral site |
| 2011 | Missouri 17–5 | Memorial Stadium |
| 2009 | Texas 41–7 | Memorial Stadium |
| 2008 | Texas 56–31 | DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium |
| 2005 | Texas 51–20 | Memorial Stadium |