Result
Final: Boise State 32, Western Michigan 7
Closest: SP+ (Boise State by 7, missed by 18.0). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Boise State by 3.4Lean
All three models favor Boise State.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Boise State by 7.0, Elo has Boise State by 1.0, and Our model has Boise State by 2.2. They are within 6.0 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Closest Boise State +6.9 vs Western Michigan -2.6 | Boise State by 7 ✓ | 18.0 |
| Elo Boise State 1606 vs Western Michigan 1519 | Boise State by 1.0 ✓ | 24.0 |
| Our model · experimental Boise State +3.2 vs Western Michigan -1.6 | Boise State by 2.2 ✓ | 22.8 |
| Line (benchmark) no pregame line | n/a | – |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Lean | Boise State by 3.4 ✓ | 21.6 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Team pages
Boise State ›Western MichiganEvery game's projections ›