The committee's Top 25
The committee ranks teams; we do not. Beside each team: its AP rank, how far it moved since the committee's last release, and where our own ratings put it.
| # | Team | Record | AP | Moved | Our rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MiamiACC · AP 1 · ours 5 | 8-1 | 1 | – | 5 |
| 2 | GeorgiaSEC · AP 2 · ours 1 | 8-1 | 2 | – | 1 |
| 3 | UtahBig 12 · AP 3 · ours 9 | 9-0 | 3 | – | 9 |
| 4 | IndianaBig Ten · AP 6 · ours 6 | 8-1 | 6 | – | 6 |
| 5 | AlabamaSEC · AP 9 · ours 4 | 7-2 | 9 | – | 4 |
| 6 | KentuckySEC · AP 8 · ours 43 | 7-2 | 8 | – | 43 |
| 7 | TexasSEC · AP 10 · ours 7 | 7-2 | 10 | – | 7 |
| 8 | UCLABig Ten · AP 5 · ours 17 | 9-0 | 5 | – | 17 |
| 9 | BYUBig 12 · AP 7 · ours 19 | 7-2 | 7 | – | 19 |
| 10 | Ole MissSEC · AP 12 · ours 16 | 6-3 | 12 | – | 16 |
| 11 | Notre DameFBS Independents · AP 4 · ours 2 | 8-1 | 4 | – | 2 |
| 12 | Ohio StateBig Ten · AP 11 · ours 3 | 6-3 | 11 | – | 3 |
| 13 | TennesseeSEC · AP 16 · ours 10 | 7-2 | 16 | – | 10 |
| 14 | LSUSEC · AP 15 · ours 8 | 6-3 | 15 | – | 8 |
| 15 | Texas TechBig 12 · AP 13 · ours 14 | 8-1 | 13 | – | 14 |
| 16 | Wake ForestACC · AP 14 · ours 11 | 8-1 | 14 | – | 11 |
| 17 | HoustonBig 12 · AP 17 · ours 33 | 7-2 | 17 | – | 33 |
| 18 | MissouriSEC · AP 19 · ours 22 | 6-3 | 19 | – | 22 |
| 19 | IowaBig Ten · AP 21 · ours 13 | 7-2 | 21 | – | 13 |
| 20 | USCBig Ten · AP 18 · ours 15 | 7-2 | 18 | – | 15 |
| 21 | South CarolinaSEC · AP 23 · ours 23 | 6-3 | 23 | – | 23 |
| 22 | ArizonaBig 12 · AP 24 · ours 20 | 7-2 | 24 | – | 20 |
| 23 | OregonBig Ten · ours 12 | 6-3 | – | – | 12 |
| 24 | FloridaSEC · AP 25 · ours 40 | 5-4 | 25 | – | 40 |
| 25 | Boise StatePac-12 · AP 20 · ours 32 | 8-1 | 20 | – | 32 |
Our model vs the committee
Our rank is each team's place on our own strength rating (the average of SP+, Elo and Our model), among every FBS team; the committee's is a human ranking that weighs results and schedule. The five biggest gaps:
- Kentucky: the committee has them 6, our ratings have them 43 (lower by 37).
- Houston: the committee has them 17, our ratings have them 33 (lower by 16).
- Florida: the committee has them 24, our ratings have them 40 (lower by 16).
- Oregon: the committee has them 23, our ratings have them 12 (higher by 11).
- BYU: the committee has them 9, our ratings have them 19 (lower by 10).
What the committee is
- A selection committee of people ranks the top 25 teams each week of the late season; the final ranking sets the playoff field.
- It looks at results, strength of schedule and conference championships, and it is not a computer ranking and not the AP poll.
- Our own playoff predictions and playoff chances are a separate simulation of the rest of the season, built without the committee's list.