College Football Prediction Scorecard 2026: Who's Been Right · CFB · The Sports Wire

Graded in public: every model, every game since Week 1.

Our call's season record 71–32 · 69%

SeasonLast 4 weeksWeek 8

Model leaderboard · season

#	Model	Winner right	%	Avg miss	Games	Graded from	Trend
1	Market	155–38	80%	11.9	193	Week 1
2	Elo	127–44	74%	13.0	171	Week 1
3	SP+	104–38	73%	11.1	142	Week 2
4	Our model	77–29	73%	12.4	106	Week 4
5	SRS	15–6	71%	11.6	21	Week 8
6	Sagarin	15–6	71%	11.2	21	Week 8
7	The Margin	15–6	71%	11.3	21	Week 8
8	Record	106–47	69%	—	153	Week 2
9	Our call	71–32	69%	12.1	103	Week 4
10	ESPN FPI	14–7	67%	11.7	21	Week 8
11	Sonny Moore	14–7	67%	9.7	21	Week 8

Model leaderboard · last 4 weeks

#	Model	Winner right	%	Avg miss	Games	Graded from
1	SRS	15–6	71%	11.6	21	Week 8
2	Sagarin	15–6	71%	11.2	21	Week 8
3	The Margin	15–6	71%	11.3	21	Week 8
4	Our model	60–25	71%	12.4	85	Week 5
5	SP+	56–27	67%	11.6	83	Week 5
6	Market	56–27	67%	11.4	83	Week 5
7	Record	57–28	67%	—	85	Week 5
8	ESPN FPI	14–7	67%	11.7	21	Week 8
9	Sonny Moore	14–7	67%	9.7	21	Week 8
10	Our call	55–28	66%	12.1	83	Week 5
11	Elo	52–31	63%	13.0	83	Week 5

Model leaderboard · week 8

#	Model	Winner right	%	Avg miss	Games	Graded from
1	SRS	15–6	71%	11.6	21	Week 8
2	Sagarin	15–6	71%	11.2	21	Week 8
3	The Margin	15–6	71%	11.3	21	Week 8
4	Market	15–6	71%	10.9	21	Week 8
5	Our call	14–7	67%	12.4	21	Week 8
6	Elo	14–7	67%	13.7	21	Week 8
7	Our model	14–7	67%	13.8	21	Week 8
8	ESPN FPI	14–7	67%	11.7	21	Week 8
9	Sonny Moore	14–7	67%	9.7	21	Week 8
10	SP+	13–8	62%	10.4	21	Week 8
11	Record	13–8	62%	—	21	Week 8

Winner right, season to date, by week

Our call 69%Market 80%

Week by week: winner right

Model	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Season
Our call	—	—	—	16–4	14–6	12–9	15–6	14–7	71–32
SP+	—	15–3	18–3	15–5	14–6	14–7	15–6	13–8	104–38
Elo	28–1	15–3	17–4	15–5	14–6	11–10	13–8	14–7	127–44
Our model	—	—	—	17–4	17–4	14–7	15–7	14–7	77–29
ESPN FPI	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	14–7	14–7
SRS	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	15–6	15–6
Sagarin	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	15–6	15–6
Sonny Moore	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	14–7	14–7
The Margin	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	15–6	15–6
Record	—	18–5	17–7	14–7	16–5	14–7	14–8	13–8	106–47
Market	39–1	23–2	21–3	16–5	14–6	13–8	14–7	15–6	155–38

The best share of each week is shaded.

Biggest misses (our call)

Week	Game	Our call	Missed by
5	Virginia at Florida State Florida State 38, Virginia 7	Virginia	33.5
6	Ole Miss at Vanderbilt Ole Miss 52, Vanderbilt 17	Ole Miss	33.5
5	Florida at Missouri Missouri 45, Florida 17	Florida	29.2
6	South Carolina at Florida South Carolina 38, Florida 19	Florida	27.7
5	Penn State at Northwestern Northwestern 34, Penn State 13	Penn State	26.6

Best calls (our call)

Week	Game	Our call	Missed by
4	Illinois at Ohio State Ohio State 42, Illinois 19	Ohio State	0.1
8	Texas A&M at Alabama Alabama 31, Texas A&M 20	Alabama	0.5
8	Houston at Utah Utah 21, Houston 13	Utah	0.6
5	BYU at TCU BYU 17, TCU 10	BYU	0.9
6	Maryland at Ohio State Ohio State 45, Maryland 16	Ohio State	1.0