Result
Final: Miami 52, Central Michigan 3
Closest: SP+ (Miami by 40.6, missed by 8.4). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Miami by 34.6Strong
All three models favor Miami. The line, shown for comparison only, has Miami by 42.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Miami by 40.6, Elo has Miami by 26.7, and Our model has Miami by 36.5. They are within 13.9 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Closest Central Michigan -14.9 vs Miami +23.2 | Miami by 40.6 ✓ | 8.4 |
| Elo Central Michigan 1291 vs Miami 1895 | Miami by 26.7 ✓ | 22.3 |
| Our model · experimental Central Michigan -10.9 vs Miami +23.1 | Miami by 36.5 ✓ | 12.5 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Miami by 42.5 | 6.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Miami by 34.6 ✓ | 14.4 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 1 meeting
Miami leads 1–0 · last: Miami 17–12, 2019
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Miami 17–12 | Hard Rock Stadium |
Team pages
Central MichiganMiami ›Every game's projections ›