Result
Final: Florida 52, Ole Miss 28
Closest: SP+ (Florida by 4.7, missed by 19.3). 2 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Florida by 1.0Toss-up
SP+ and Our model favor Florida; Elo favors Ole Miss. The line, shown for comparison only, has Florida by 1.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Florida by 4.7, Elo has Ole Miss by 5.1, and Our model has Florida by 3.4. The furthest apart are 9.8 points from each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Closest Ole Miss +15.6 vs Florida +17.8 | Florida by 4.7 ✓ | 19.3 |
| Elo Ole Miss 1859 vs Florida 1668 | Ole Miss by 5.1 ✗ | 29.1 |
| Our model · experimental Ole Miss +14.6 vs Florida +15.5 | Florida by 3.4 ✓ | 20.6 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Florida by 1.5 | 22.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Toss-up | Florida by 1.0 ✓ | 23.0 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 5 meetings
tied 13–13–1 · last: Ole Miss 34–24, 2025
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ole Miss 34–24 | Vaught-Hemingway Stadium |
| 2024 | Florida 24–17 | Ben Hill Griffin Stadium |
| 2020 | Florida 51–35 | Vaught-Hemingway Stadium |
| 2015 | Florida 38–10 | Ben Hill Griffin Stadium |
| 2008 | Ole Miss 31–30 | Ben Hill Griffin Stadium |