Result
Final: Texas Tech 49, Sam Houston 14
Closest: SP+ (Texas Tech by 37.3, missed by 2.3). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Texas Tech by 31.0Strong
All three models favor Texas Tech. The line, shown for comparison only, has Texas Tech by 37.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Texas Tech by 37.3, Elo has Texas Tech by 29.9, and Our model has Texas Tech by 25.7. They are within 11.6 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Closest Sam Houston -16.3 vs Texas Tech +18.5 | Texas Tech by 37.3 ✓ | 2.3 |
| Elo Sam Houston 1155 vs Texas Tech 1841 | Texas Tech by 29.9 ✓ | 5.1 |
| Our model · experimental Sam Houston -7.8 vs Texas Tech +15.4 | Texas Tech by 25.7 ✓ | 9.3 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Texas Tech by 37.5 | 2.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Texas Tech by 31.0 ✓ | 4.0 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 2 meetings
Texas Tech leads 2–0 · last: Texas Tech 59–45, 2015 · Texas Tech has won 2 straight
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Texas Tech 59–45 | Jones AT&T Stadium |
| 2005 | Texas Tech 80–21 | Jones AT&T Stadium |
Team pages
Sam HoustonTexas Tech ›Every game's projections ›