Result
Final: LSU 35, Texas A&M 6
Closest: Our model (LSU by 7.5, missed by 21.5). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: LSU by 4.3Lean
All three models favor LSU. The line, shown for comparison only, has LSU by 8.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has LSU by 4.5, Elo has LSU by 1.0, and Our model has LSU by 7.5. They are within 6.5 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Texas A&M +18.3 vs LSU +20.3 | LSU by 4.5 ✓ | 24.5 |
| Elo Texas A&M 1824 vs LSU 1786 | LSU by 1.0 ✓ | 28.0 |
| Our model · experimental Closest Texas A&M +13.8 vs LSU +18.7 | LSU by 7.5 ✓ | 21.5 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | LSU by 8.5 | 20.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Lean | LSU by 4.3 ✓ | 24.7 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 5 meetings
LSU leads 36–24–3 · last: Texas A&M 49–25, 2025 · Texas A&M has won 2 straight
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas A&M 49–25 | Tiger Stadium (LA) |
| 2024 | Texas A&M 38–23 | Kyle Field |
| 2023 | LSU 42–30 | Tiger Stadium (LA) |
| 2022 | Texas A&M 38–23 | Kyle Field |
| 2021 | LSU 27–24 | Tiger Stadium (LA) |