Result
Final: Arkansas 34, Tulsa 6
Closest: Elo (Arkansas by 10.1, missed by 17.9). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Arkansas by 5.1Lean
All three models favor Arkansas.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Arkansas by 3.4, Elo has Arkansas by 10.1, and Our model has Arkansas by 1.7. They are within 8.4 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Tulsa -1.2 vs Arkansas -0.3 | Arkansas by 3.4 ✓ | 24.6 |
| Elo Closest Tulsa 1277 vs Arkansas 1466 | Arkansas by 10.1 ✓ | 17.9 |
| Our model · experimental Tulsa -2.6 vs Arkansas -3.5 | Arkansas by 1.7 ✓ | 26.3 |
| Line (benchmark) no pregame line | n/a | – |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Lean | Arkansas by 5.1 ✓ | 22.9 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Team pages
TulsaArkansasEvery game's projections ›