Result
Final: Auburn 21, Vanderbilt 15
Closest: Our model (Auburn by 4.8, missed by 1.2). 2 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Auburn by 2.9Toss-up
SP+ and Our model favor Auburn; Elo favors Vanderbilt.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Auburn by 4.4, Elo has Vanderbilt by 0.5, and Our model has Auburn by 4.8. The furthest apart are 5.3 points from each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Vanderbilt +9.7 vs Auburn +11.6 | Auburn by 4.4 ✓ | 1.6 |
| Elo Vanderbilt 1742 vs Auburn 1668 | Vanderbilt by 0.5 ✗ | 6.5 |
| Our model · experimental Closest Vanderbilt +8.2 vs Auburn +10.5 | Auburn by 4.8 ✓ | 1.2 |
| Line (benchmark) no pregame line | n/a | – |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Toss-up | Auburn by 2.9 ✓ | 3.1 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Team pages
VanderbiltAuburnEvery game's projections ›