Result
Final: Texas A&M 34, Arkansas 7
Closest: Our model (Texas A&M by 17.4, missed by 9.6). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Texas A&M by 13.5Strong
All three models favor Texas A&M. The line, shown for comparison only, has Texas A&M by 14.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Texas A&M by 11.7, Elo has Texas A&M by 11.5, and Our model has Texas A&M by 17.4. They are within 5.9 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Arkansas -0.3 vs Texas A&M +8.9 | Texas A&M by 11.7 ✓ | 15.3 |
| Elo Arkansas 1516 vs Texas A&M 1742 | Texas A&M by 11.5 ✓ | 15.5 |
| Our model · experimental Closest Arkansas -1.1 vs Texas A&M +13.8 | Texas A&M by 17.4 ✓ | 9.6 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Texas A&M by 14.5 | 12.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Texas A&M by 13.5 ✓ | 13.5 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 5 meetings
Arkansas leads 42–37–3 · last: Texas A&M 45–42, 2025 · Texas A&M has won 4 straight
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas A&M 45–42 | Razorback Stadium |
| 2024 | Texas A&M 21–17 | neutral site |
| 2023 | Texas A&M 34–22 | neutral site |
| 2022 | Texas A&M 23–21 | neutral site |
| 2021 | Arkansas 20–10 | neutral site |