Result
Final: SMU 25, Boston College 16
Closest: Elo (SMU by 15.3, missed by 6.3). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: SMU by 17.8Strong
All three models favor SMU. The line, shown for comparison only, has SMU by 21.0.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has SMU by 20.1, Elo has SMU by 15.3, and Our model has SMU by 18.1. They are within 4.8 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Boston College -4.6 vs SMU +13.0 | SMU by 20.1 ✓ | 11.1 |
| Elo Closest Boston College 1375 vs SMU 1695 | SMU by 15.3 ✓ | 6.3 |
| Our model · experimental Boston College -5.3 vs SMU +10.4 | SMU by 18.1 ✓ | 9.1 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | SMU by 21 | 12.0 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | SMU by 17.8 ✓ | 8.8 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 4 meetings
SMU leads 3–1 · last: SMU 45–13, 2025 · SMU has won 2 straight
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | SMU 45–13 | Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) |
| 2024 | SMU 38–28 | Gerald J. Ford Stadium |
| 2023 | Boston College 23–14 | neutral site |
| 1986 | SMU 31–29 | — |
Team pages
Boston CollegeSMU ›Every game's projections ›