Result
Final: Indiana 47, Rutgers 15
Closest: Elo (Indiana by 26.8, missed by 5.2). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Indiana by 22.4Strong
All three models favor Indiana. The line, shown for comparison only, has Indiana by 23.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Indiana by 26.0, Elo has Indiana by 26.8, and Our model has Indiana by 14.3. They are within 12.5 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Indiana +26.9 vs Rutgers -1.6 | Indiana by 26 ✓ | 6.0 |
| Elo Closest Indiana 2106 vs Rutgers 1373 | Indiana by 26.8 ✓ | 5.2 |
| Our model · experimental Indiana +16.0 vs Rutgers -0.7 | Indiana by 14.3 ✓ | 17.7 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Indiana by 23.5 | 8.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Indiana by 22.4 ✓ | 9.6 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 5 meetings
tied 5–5 · last: Rutgers 31–14, 2023 · Rutgers has won 3 straight
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Rutgers 31–14 | Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) |
| 2022 | Rutgers 24–17 | SHI Stadium |
| 2021 | Rutgers 38–3 | Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) |
| 2020 | Indiana 37–21 | SHI Stadium |
| 2019 | Indiana 35–0 | Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) |