Result
Final: Kentucky 35, South Carolina 34
Closest: SP+ (South Carolina by 2, missed by 3.0). 0 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was wrong.
Our call: South Carolina by 4.6Lean
All three models favor South Carolina. The line, shown for comparison only, has South Carolina by 3.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has South Carolina by 2.0, Elo has South Carolina by 6.6, and Our model has South Carolina by 5.1. They are within 4.6 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Closest Kentucky +8.0 vs South Carolina +7.5 | South Carolina by 2 ✗ | 3.0 |
| Elo Kentucky 1553 vs South Carolina 1655 | South Carolina by 6.6 ✗ | 7.6 |
| Our model · experimental Kentucky +4.3 vs South Carolina +6.9 | South Carolina by 5.1 ✗ | 6.1 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | South Carolina by 3.5 | 4.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Lean | South Carolina by 4.6 ✗ | 5.6 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Team pages
Kentucky ›South CarolinaEvery game's projections ›