Result
Final: Miami 41, Clemson 13
Closest: SP+ (Miami by 18.3, missed by 9.7). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Miami by 14.8Strong
All three models favor Miami. The line, shown for comparison only, has Miami by 18.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Miami by 18.3, Elo has Miami by 13.1, and Our model has Miami by 13.1. They are within 5.2 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Closest Miami +25.7 vs Clemson +4.9 | Miami by 18.3 ✓ | 9.7 |
| Elo Miami 1962 vs Clemson 1572 | Miami by 13.1 ✓ | 14.9 |
| Our model · experimental Miami +22.5 vs Clemson +6.8 | Miami by 13.1 ✓ | 14.9 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Miami by 18.5 | 9.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Miami by 14.8 ✓ | 13.2 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 5 meetings
tied 7–7 · last: Miami 28–20, 2023
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Miami 28–20 | Hard Rock Stadium |
| 2022 | Clemson 40–10 | Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) |
| 2020 | Clemson 42–17 | Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) |
| 2017 | Clemson 38–3 | neutral site |
| 2015 | Clemson 58–0 | Hard Rock Stadium |