Result
Final: Texas Tech 29, Colorado 7
Closest: SP+ (Texas Tech by 21, missed by 1.0). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Texas Tech by 19.1Strong
All three models favor Texas Tech. The line, shown for comparison only, has Texas Tech by 14.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Texas Tech by 21.0, Elo has Texas Tech by 18.8, and Our model has Texas Tech by 17.5. They are within 3.5 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Closest Texas Tech +20.2 vs Colorado -3.3 | Texas Tech by 21 ✓ | 1.0 |
| Elo Texas Tech 1860 vs Colorado 1327 | Texas Tech by 18.8 ✓ | 3.2 |
| Our model · experimental Texas Tech +17.1 vs Colorado -2.9 | Texas Tech by 17.5 ✓ | 4.5 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Texas Tech by 14.5 | 7.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Texas Tech by 19.1 ✓ | 2.9 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 5 meetings
Colorado leads 6–5 · last: Colorado 41–27, 2024
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Colorado 41–27 | Jones AT&T Stadium |
| 2010 | Texas Tech 27–24 | Folsom Field |
| 2007 | Colorado 31–26 | Jones AT&T Stadium |
| 2006 | Colorado 30–6 | Folsom Field |
| 2003 | Texas Tech 26–21 | Jones AT&T Stadium |