The SportsWire

Vanderbilt at #2Georgia

Prediction · week 5, 2026 · Sat Oct 3, 11:45 AM CT / 12:45 PM ET · Sanford Stadium

Updated Tue Oct 13, 7:56 PM CT

Result

Final: Georgia 38, Vanderbilt 14

Closest: SP+ (Georgia by 25.2, missed by 1.2). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.

Our call: Georgia by 19.1Strong

All three models favor Georgia. The line, shown for comparison only, has Georgia by 24.5.

The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›

SP+ has Georgia by 25.2, Elo has Georgia by 14.2, and Our model has Georgia by 17.9. They are within 11.0 points of each other.

This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.

Every model

ModelSaysMissed by
SP+ Closest
Vanderbilt +7.5 vs Georgia +30.2
Georgia by 25.2 ✓1.2
Elo
Vanderbilt 1731 vs Georgia 2023
Georgia by 14.2 ✓9.8
Our model · experimental
Vanderbilt +7.6 vs Georgia +23.1
Georgia by 17.9 ✓6.1
Line (benchmark)
pregame line
Georgia by 24.50.5
Our call
average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong
Georgia by 19.1 ✓4.9

Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›

Key injuries

No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.

Last 5 meetings

Georgia leads 60–17–2 · last: Georgia 37–20, 2023 · Georgia has won 6 straight

SeasonResultSite
2023Georgia 37–20FirstBank Stadium
2022Georgia 55–0Sanford Stadium
2021Georgia 62–0FirstBank Stadium
2019Georgia 30–6FirstBank Stadium
2018Georgia 41–13Sanford Stadium

Team pages