The prediction
Our call: Louisville by 11.0Strong
All three models favor Louisville. The line, shown for comparison only, has Louisville by 12.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Louisville by 10.9, Elo has Louisville by 14.5, and Our model has Louisville by 7.6. They are within 6.9 points of each other.
Every model
| Model | Says |
|---|---|
| SP+ Louisville +13.0 vs Syracuse -0.4 | Louisville by 10.9 |
| Elo Louisville 1729 vs Syracuse 1303 | Louisville by 14.5 |
| Our model · experimental Louisville +9.8 vs Syracuse -0.3 | Louisville by 7.6 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Louisville by 12.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Louisville by 11.0 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Syracuse
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Last 5 meetings
Louisville leads 13–8 · last: Syracuse 31–7, 2022
| Season | Result | Site |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Syracuse 31–7 | JMA Wireless Dome |
| 2021 | Louisville 41–3 | L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium |
| 2020 | Louisville 30–0 | L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium |
| 2019 | Louisville 56–34 | L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium |
| 2018 | Syracuse 54–23 | JMA Wireless Dome |