The prediction
Our call: Northwestern by 9.0Strong
All three models favor Northwestern. The line, shown for comparison only, has Northwestern by 9.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Northwestern by 14.3, Elo has Northwestern by 8.7, and Our model has Northwestern by 4.0. They are within 10.3 points of each other.
Every model
| Model | Says |
|---|---|
| SP+ Northwestern +15.6 vs Michigan State -1.2 | Northwestern by 14.3 |
| Elo Northwestern 1731 vs Michigan State 1452 | Northwestern by 8.7 |
| Our model · experimental Northwestern +5.9 vs Michigan State -0.6 | Northwestern by 4 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Northwestern by 9.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Northwestern by 9.0 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Michigan State
No injury report yet for this game. First reports usually come Wednesday.
Team pages
Northwestern ›Michigan StateEvery game's projections ›