Result
Final: Virginia 42, Delaware 3
Closest: SP+ (Virginia by 21.1, missed by 17.9). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Virginia by 15.8Strong
All three models favor Virginia. The line, shown for comparison only, has Virginia by 21.0.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Virginia by 21.1, Elo has Virginia by 10.4, and Our model has Virginia by 16.0. They are within 10.7 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Closest Delaware -8.1 vs Virginia +10.5 | Virginia by 21.1 ✓ | 17.9 |
| Elo Delaware 1414 vs Virginia 1612 | Virginia by 10.4 ✓ | 28.6 |
| Our model · experimental Delaware -7.6 vs Virginia +5.9 | Virginia by 16 ✓ | 23.0 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Virginia by 21 | 18.0 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Virginia by 15.8 ✓ | 23.2 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 0 meetings
first meeting
No earlier meeting.