Result
Final: Houston 42, Georgia Southern 28
Closest: Our model (Houston by 13.7, missed by 0.3). 3 of 3 models named the winner. Our call was right.
Our call: Houston by 11.2Strong
All three models favor Houston. The line, shown for comparison only, has Houston by 19.5.
The average of SP+, Elo and Our model; the line is left out and kept as a benchmark. Toss-up under 3 points, Lean 3 to 7, Strong 7 and over. More ›
SP+ has Houston by 16.0, Elo has Houston by 3.9, and Our model has Houston by 13.7. They are within 12.1 points of each other.
This page was first built after kickoff, so these are the week's projections as recorded then, from the same weekly ratings the season record scores.
Every model
| Model | Says | Missed by |
|---|---|---|
| SP+ Houston +10.8 vs Georgia Southern -7.7 | Houston by 16 ✓ | 2.0 |
| Elo Houston 1518 vs Georgia Southern 1358 | Houston by 3.9 ✓ | 10.1 |
| Our model · experimental Closest Houston +9.1 vs Georgia Southern -7.1 | Houston by 13.7 ✓ | 0.3 |
| Line (benchmark) pregame line | Houston by 19.5 | 5.5 |
| Our call average of SP+, Elo and Our model · Strong | Houston by 11.2 ✓ | 2.8 |
Each margin is from the same weekly ratings the team pages use: SP+ and Elo from their rating gap, the home team given 2.5 points (none at a neutral site); Our model is this site's experimental rating; the line is the market's pregame margin, shown as a benchmark and never part of Our call. ✓ when a model named the winner, ✗ when it did not; Closest marks the one nearest the final margin (an exact tie goes to the first listed). How these work ›
Key injuries
No injury list was recorded for this game: its page was first built after kickoff.
Last 0 meetings
first meeting
No earlier meeting.
Team pages
Houston ›Georgia SouthernEvery game's projections ›